Update Market Outlooks and Investment Perspectives as of July 2023

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Fed announced a policy interest rate increase of 0.25%, and there is a view that Fed would raise the interest rate one more time this year, passing the latest Fed’s dot plot median projection. It was expected that Fed would not raise the policy interest rate any further and would start lowering the interest rate within the beginning of the second half of the year.

US inflation rate in June 2023 expanded at 3.0% YoY, decreasing from the previous month as the inflation remained above the target level of 2% and the US labor market was still strong.

Following the Fed’s meeting, the policy interest rate would be maintained at 5.00 -5.25% as the market expected, to allow the economic adjustment to the strict monetary policy in the previous period.