Summary of US and Israel Strikes on Iran (March 2, 2026)
March 04, 2026
5 minutes
If the article is too long, you can choose a topic to read:
- Why the US and Israel Decided to Strike Now
- Performance Through Risk-Based Recommended Portfolios
- Investment outlook for 2026
- Investment Recommendations
▶️Why the US and Israel Decided to Strike Now
The military operation followed the failure of indirect nuclear negotiations in Geneva. The US claimed that Iran continued to advance uranium enrichment to 60% levels and accelerated its ballistic missile development—actions viewed by both the US and Israel as an "unacceptable threat".
▶️Performance Through Risk-Based Recommended PortfoliosCurrent Situation on the Ground
The strikes targeted key cities including Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, and Karaj, specifically hitting areas near the Supreme Leader’s compound. Iranian state media has confirmed that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, was killed in the attack. Reports indicate over 200 deaths, including high-ranking officials and the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The IRGC has vowed a severe retaliation, with explosions already reported in areas housing US bases or allies, such as Dubai, Doha, Bahrain, and Kuwait.
▶️Impact on the Oil Market
The energy market is the most heavily impacted sector. The primary risk is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic chokepoint through which over 25% of the world's oil passes. Brent crude, which averaged $67 per barrel earlier this year, has risen to $76 per barrel (as of March 2, 8:37 AM Thailand time). Analysts estimate that if the closure persists, prices could surge to $120 – $150 per barrel. Additionally, approximately 20% of global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) flows through this route, which could drive energy prices higher in Europe and Asia.
▶️Impact on Investment Assets
The stock market is expected to remain volatile during this period. Conversely, gold prices continue to rise as investors shift capital to diversify risk (up approximately +3% as of 9:00 AM on March 2, compared to February 26 price levels).
While it is premature to conclude whether this situation will resolve quickly or become prolonged, our model portfolios are structurally prepared for such volatility. With a strategic allocation of 35% – 85% in Fixed Income (depending on the specific portfolio) and a 5% allocation in Gold, our recommended strategy is designed to provide robust diversification. As demonstrated during previous periods of market turbulence, this balanced approach aims to limit downside capture significantly compared to a single-asset investment.
⚠️ Warning: Buyers should understand the details of coverage, conditions and risks before making a decision to purchase insurance every time.Warning: Investments are risky. Investors should study products, return conditions, risks and tax benefits in the investment manual of such funds before making a decision to invest.
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